查看完整版本: 黄金分割的五个技巧

黄金分割的五个技巧

黄金分割的五个技巧cV7e%MeLv+J
by Alan Farley翻译：树静风止
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U8Xt2}:@'tn [font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif][size=2]Fibonacci jumped into the technical mainstream late in the bull market. Futures traders had it all to themselves until real-time software ported it over to the equity markets. Its popularity exploded as retail traders experimented with its arcane math and discovered its many virtues. [/size][/font]X c)w&_U;cD-XU.@6o
[font=Verdana][size=2]菲波纳奇在牛市的后期一跃而成为技术主流。以前只是期货交易员们使用这项技术，直到实时软件技术出现在证券市场。散户交易员们检验了它的神秘数学性并且发现了它的很多优点,，它从此成为了一种流行技术。[/size][/font]}t.M#n4SnFW
[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif][size=2]Fibonacci ratios describe the interaction between trend and countertrend markets -- 38%, 50% and 62% retracements form the primary pullback levels. Apply these percentages after a trend in either direction to predict the extent of the countertrend swing. Stretch a grid over the most obvious up or down wave, and see how percentages cross key price levels. [/size][/font]
?KbcsR] [font=Verdana][size=2]菲波纳奇比率描述了市场趋势和相反趋势之间的关系——主要趋势的38%，50%和62%折返。无论是那种市场方向，在一波趋势过后使用这些百分比可以预测反向趋势的摆动程度。在主要的向上趋势或向下趋势上画出珊格线，观察这些百分比如何穿越关键的价格水平。[/size][/font]3|mx+c4bo
[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif][size=2]Convergence between pattern and retracement can point to excellent trading opportunities. Keep in mind that retracements work poorly in a vacuum. Always examine highs, lows and moving averages to confirm the importance of a specific level. [/size][/font]_\+xsY
[font=Verdana][size=2]模式和回撤的一致给了交易者很好的交易机会。记住，回撤在真空中效果会很差。经常检查高点、低点、移动平均线来确定特定价格的重要性。[/size][/font]
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AA [font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif][size=2]Discord between retracement and the underlying pattern generates noise instead of profit. Move on to a new chart when nothing lines up correctly. This divergence generates most of the whipsaw in a price chart. Alternatively, strong phasing between Fibonacci and pattern exposes highly predictive reversals at narrow price levels. [/size][/font]Zu
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[font=Verdana][size=2]潜在的模式和回撤的不一致会产生噪声而不是利润。如果没有东西能正确地排列起来，重新打开一张图表。这种背离在图表上通常会产生锯齿。可能的结果是，一个狭幅波动价格水平下的菲波纳奇和一些模式产生的强烈信号往往会产生反转。[/size][/font]
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[font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif][size=2]Let's look at five tricks to improve your Fibonacci skills. Add these twists and turns to your toolbox and apply them to your next trade. I promise they'll serve you very well in the years ahead. [/size][/font]
8@+]*r(|3la%j P3e [font=Verdana][size=2]让我们看看5个策略来提高你的菲波纳奇技巧。将这些价格扭曲和反转放在你的工具箱中，并在下次趋势中使用他们。我保证它们可以在今后的数年中帮助你。[/size][/font]j3ZbX%G_
[align=center][font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif][size=2][b]First Rise/First Failure 第一次上升/第一次失败[/b][/size][/font][/align][align=center][img=442,360]http://www.traderslog.com/fibrise.gif[/img][/align][font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif][size=2]First Rise/First Failure marks the first 100% retracement of a trend within your time frame of interest. It provides an early reversal warning after a new high or low. The 100% retracement violates the major price direction and terminates the trend it corrects. From this level, the old trend can reestablish itself if it breaks through the old 38% level. More often, traders will use that level to enter low-risk positions against the old trend. [/size][/font]
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Bok9g#\-|q [font=Verdana][size=2]在你喜欢的时间框图上第一次上升/第一次失败标志了第一个100%回撤。出现了新高或者新低后，它给出了一个早期的反转警告。100%回撤违背了主要的价格方向，终结了它所修正的那个趋势。从这个价格水平开始，如果价格穿越旧的38%水平，可能重新建立老的趋势。跟多的情况是，交易者使用这个价格水平建立与原有趋势相反的低风险头寸。[/size][/font]
7k _eO"zqB FH [align=center][b][font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif][size=2]Parabola Hunt 寻找抛物线[/size][/font][/b][/align][align=center][img=442,360]http://www.traderslog.com/para.gif[/img][/align][font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif][size=2]Parabolic movement tends to occur between the 0%-to-38% and 62%-to-100% Fibonacci levels in all trends. This tendency offers a great tool for finding the big moves when looking for trades. Watch for congestion to form at the 38% or 62% level. Then use a simple breakout or breakdown strategy when price moves past it. The next thrust can be dramatic, with price moving like a magnet back to an old high or low. Of course, the strategy only works when you can find these levels in advance. [/size][/font]
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]g2y(A1cv2}S@ [font=Verdana][size=2]在所有的趋势中，抛物线运动通常发生在[/size][/font][font=Verdana][size=2]0%-38%和62%-100%菲波纳奇水位。这些趋势为交易者寻找大波动提供了一个有力的工具。观察挤压在38%或者62%水平的价格，当价格穿越该水位时，使用简单的向上或者向下突破策略。下一次价格推动可能是快速的，价格运动起来就像是有一个磁场把价格推动到老趋势的高点或者低点。当然，只有在你能提前发现这些水位后该策略才能发挥作用。[/size][/font]
P9u UiWAi [align=center][font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif][size=2][b]Continuation Gap Extensions 持续缺口的延伸[/b][/size][/font][/align][align=center][img=442,360]http://www.traderslog.com/conti.gif[/img][/align][font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif][size=2]You can often target the exact price a rally or selloff will end at by using the continuation gap as a Fibonacci extension tool. Identify the gap by its location at the dead center of a vertical price wave. Then start a Fib grid at the beginning of the trend and extend it so the gap sits under the 50% retracement level. The grid extension points to the terminating price for the rally or selloff.[/size][/font]
U`N2~6|4`5q [font=Verdana][size=2]通过使用持续缺口作为菲波纳奇扩充工具，你可以发现特定的价格回归或者抛售是否结束。通过一个垂直的价格波段的真空中心找到缺口，然后再趋势的开始位置开始画栅格，延伸栅格，使缺口位于50%回撤的下方，这个栅格将延伸至价格回归或者抛售的结束位置。[/size][/font]
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~2Ft$G%l [font=Verdana][size=2][/size][/font] $xe&I/_3? VY;L
[align=center][font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif][size=2][b]Overnight Grids 隔夜栅格[/b][/size][/font][/align][align=center][img=442,360]http://www.traderslog.com/grid.gif[/img][/align][font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif][size=2]Find an active stock and start a grid from the high (or low) of a session's last hour. Stretch the grid to the opposite end of the next morning's first hour low (or high). This defines a specific price wave traders can use to uncover intraday reversals, breakouts and breakdowns. The overnight grid also offers a way to trade morning gaps. The gap will often stretch across a key retracement level and target low-risk entry on a pullback.[/size][/font]1j0g%g l4mk5FV
[font=Verdana][size=2]寻找一个活跃的股票，从上个小时段的最高点（或者最低点）开始画栅格。将栅格延伸到另一端的次日早晨的第一个小时低点（或者高点）。这样就找出了一个特定的价格波段，交易者可以用它来找到日内交易的翻转点、突破点。隔夜栅格同时给出了一个在早晨缺口处交易的方法。这个缺口通常可以穿越关键的回拉水位，给出了一个低风险的回拉入场点。[/size][/font]Q.f-`\]P
[align=center][font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif][size=2][b]Second High/Low 第二个高点/低点[/b][/size][/font][/align][align=center][img=442,360]http://www.traderslog.com/aa0722.gif[/img][/align][font=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif][size=2]Many traders can't figure out where to start a Fib grid. Here's a trick to help you place it where it'll do the most good. The absolute high or low in a price wave isn't the best starting point for a grid most of the time. Instead, look for a small double bottom or double top within the congestion where the trend began. Swing one end of the grid over this second high (or low), instead of the first. This will capture a specific Elliott Wave that conforms to the trend you're trying to trade. [/size][/font]!r wiw_3W1J
[font=Verdana][size=2]许多交易者无法找到从什么地方开始菲波纳奇珊格。这里有一个技巧来帮助你。在一个价格波动过程中，绝对的价格低点或者高点通常不是一个好的菲波纳奇珊格的开始点。相反，应该在趋势开始的价格密集区寻找一个小双底或者双顶。将栅格的端点放在第二个高点（或者低点），而不是第一个。这可以捕捉到某个特定的艾略特波来确定你想进行交易的趋势。。[/size][/font]

周末休息的时候把这篇文章翻了一下，算交差了！
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许多交易者无法找到从什么地方开始菲波纳奇珊格。这里有一个技巧来帮助你。在一个价格波动过程中，绝对的价格低点或者高点通常不是一个好的菲波纳奇珊格的开始点。相反，应该在趋势开始的价格密集区寻找一个小双底或者双顶。将栅格的端点放在第二个高点（或者低点），而不是第一个。这可以捕捉到某个特定的艾略特波来确定你想进行交易的趋势。。
k{W0He
 Wk(q1~ 谢谢

树妹妹早!

好文，树版辛苦了◎

谢谢了，学习！！:yct40 :yct40

:yct40 :yct29 :yct29 谢谢拉···呵呵···

:yct22 :yct22

模式和回撤的一致给了交易者很好的交易机会。记住，回撤在真空中效果会很差。经常检查高点、低点、移动平均线来确定特定价格的重要性。
m5Z8_oq{0R-W 这句话的意思是不要但凭黄金分割就决定交易，黄金分割只能是一个辅助交易的定量分析工具。

谢谢，想检验一下对突破后行情的预测效果如何

回复 #11 都市农民 的帖子

传一个欧元的图上来。

很好的图

嘿嘿，谢谢了树版

好东东，再看一便 谢谢树版版

学外汇的同时也学了翻译技巧，谢谢树姐姐！辛苦了！:yct29

正在找这方面的东西 谢谢了

好仁呐:yct05

回复 #18 HELM 的帖子

瞧你哭的！
[$FQ;N.kp.c 给你擦下眼泪哈。
{)w(KC vMZ8g~b :yct18

:yct29

好东西 谢谢 顶顶顶顶顶顶顶顶顶顶顶顶顶顶顶顶顶顶顶顶顶顶顶顶顶顶顶顶顶顶顶