2007-08-01 15:55
下降楔型(Falling Wedge,也称倾斜三角形, 或者终结三角形,Ending Diagonal。 在结构上,通常形成调整波段中浪C,或者下跌波段中的第五浪),以及上升楔型,如同,头肩顶/底,圆弧顶/底一样,都是典型的翻转形态。
这里提供一个实战范例 —— 美元/日元。
在前期自108。90附近启动的下跌过程中,产生了一个几乎完美的下降楔型。
其他有关操作内容,参阅5-5-05 sharkeater 美元/日元短线,和今天一贴中日元的短线操作建议。
这形态,经常在各个时间框架内出现,频率非常高。经典的,规范的例子不是很多,常常和上述提及的,类似的三角形形态混淆。
注意几个要点:
早期的上行趋势,是必需条件,
先期的下降运行阶段,(和后期形态发展,理想的运行时间比例,1:1-2)
由价格反应形成的低点和高点,组成的支撑线和压制线,收拢。
英文原文:
Prior Trend: To qualify as a reversal pattern, there must be a prior trend to reverse. Ideally, the falling wedge will form after an extended downtrend and mark the final low.
Upper Resistance Line: It takes at least two reaction highs to form the upper resistance line, ideally three. Each reaction high should be lower than the previous highs.
Lower Support Line: At least two reaction lows are required to form the lower support line. Each reaction low should be lower than the previous lows.
Resistance Break: Bullish confirmation of the pattern does not come until the resistance line is broken in convincing fashion. It is sometimes prudent to wait for a break above the previous reaction high for further confirmation. Once resistance is broken, there can sometimes be a correction to test the newfound support level.
Volume: While volume is not particularly important on rising wedges, it is an essential ingredient to confirm a falling wedge breakout. Without an expansion of volume, the breakout will lack conviction and be vulnerable to failure.